Albania vs Finland

Albania face Finland in the UEFA Nations League (League C - 5) on Thursday 12 November 2026, kick-off 19:45 UTC at Arena Kombëtare, Tirana.

Albania are 1st with 9 points from 4 games, while Finland are 3rd with 7. That leaves Albania 2 points ahead.

At home this season Albania average 2.0 goals scored and 0.5 conceded per game; on the road Finland average 3.5 scored and 0.5 conceded. Albania have kept 2 clean sheets and failed to score 0 times; Finland have 2 clean sheets and 2 blanks.

Albania have scored 8 and conceded 4 in their last 5 matches, with 3 going over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring in 2. Finland have scored 10 and conceded 4 in their last 5 matches, with 3 going over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring in 2.

Albania come into this fixture with a recent record of 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats, while Finland have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in the same window. Albania currently sit 1st on 9 points, with Finland placed 3rd on 7 points. Across the last 1 head-to-head meetings, 3 goals have been scored and both teams found the net in 1 of them. Recent head-to-head meetings average 3 goals, which supports the Over 2.5 line. The Over 2.5 Goals selection (Over 2.5) is assigned a 42.55% probability at odds of 2.35.

• Albania have the better recent form (9 pts vs 7 pts from the last 5 matches).
• Albania have scored 8 goals this season compared with 9 for Finland.
• Defensively, Albania have conceded 3 and Finland have conceded 2.
• League positions: Albania 1st, Finland 3rd.
• Albania have won 2 of 2 home matches in this competition.
• Finland have won 1 of 2 away matches in this competition.

• Albania matches average 2.8 total goals this season and Finland matches 2.8.
• 3 of Albania's last 5 matches went over 2.5 goals.
• 3 of Finland's last 5 matches went over 2.5 goals.
• The last 1 head-to-head meetings averaged 3.0 goals.

In the last 1 meeting, Albania have won 0, Finland have won 1 and 0 ended level. The most recent, on 3 October 2026, finished Finland 2-1 Albania.