Bulgaria vs Iceland

Bulgaria face Iceland in the UEFA Nations League (League C - 5) on Friday 13 November 2026, kick-off 19:45 UTC at Hristo Botev Stadium, Plovdiv.

Bulgaria are 3rd with 4 points from 4 games, while Iceland are 1st with 8. That leaves Iceland 4 points ahead.

At home this season Bulgaria average 0.5 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game; on the road Iceland average 1.5 scored and 0.0 conceded. Bulgaria have kept 2 clean sheets and failed to score 2 times; Iceland have 3 clean sheets and 1 blank.

Bulgaria have scored 5 and conceded 7 in their last 5 matches, with 3 going over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring in 2. Iceland have scored 7 and conceded 4 in their last 5 matches, with 3 going over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring in 1.

Bulgaria come into this fixture with a recent record of 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats, while Iceland have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in the same window. Bulgaria currently sit 3rd on 4 points, with Iceland placed 1st on 8 points. Across the last 1 head-to-head meetings, 3 goals have been scored and both teams found the net in 0 of them. Recent head-to-head meetings average 3 goals, which supports the Over 1.5 line. The Over 1.5 Goals selection (Over 1.5) is assigned a 73.53% probability at odds of 1.36.

• Iceland have the better recent form (8 pts vs 5 pts from the last 5 matches).
• Bulgaria have scored 3 goals this season compared with 7 for Iceland.
• Defensively, Bulgaria have conceded 5 and Iceland have conceded 1.
• League positions: Bulgaria 3rd, Iceland 1st.
• Bulgaria have won 0 of 2 home matches in this competition.
• Iceland have won 1 of 2 away matches in this competition.

• Bulgaria matches average 2.1 total goals this season and Iceland matches 2.1.
• 4 of Bulgaria's last 5 matches went over 1.5 goals.
• 4 of Iceland's last 5 matches went over 1.5 goals.
• The last 1 head-to-head meetings averaged 3.0 goals.

In the last 1 meeting, Bulgaria have won 0, Iceland have won 1 and 0 ended level. The most recent, on 3 October 2026, finished Iceland 3-0 Bulgaria.