Cerro Largo vs Progreso
Cerro Largo vs Progreso Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips
Cerro Largo vs Progreso Preview
Cerro Largo face Progreso in the Primera División (Clausura - 14) on Thursday 12 November 2026, kick-off 23:00 UTC at Estadio Arquitecto Antonio Eleuterio Ubilla, Melo.
Cerro Largo are 12th with 37 points from 35 games, while Progreso are 15th with 35. That leaves Cerro Largo 2 points ahead.
At home this season Cerro Largo average 1.2 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per game; on the road Progreso average 0.8 scored and 1.3 conceded. Cerro Largo have kept 9 clean sheets and failed to score 13 times; Progreso have 6 clean sheets and 14 blanks.
Cerro Largo have scored 4 and conceded 6 in their last 5 matches, with 1 going over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring in 2. Progreso have scored 6 and conceded 6 in their last 5 matches, with 1 going over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring in 2.
Match Analysis
Cerro Largo come into this fixture with a recent record of 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats, while Progreso have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in the same window. Cerro Largo currently sit 12th on 37 points, with Progreso placed 15th on 35 points. Across the last 5 head-to-head meetings, 13 goals have been scored and both teams found the net in 3 of them. Both teams scored in 3 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings, backing the BTTS selection. The Both Teams To Score selection (BTTS) is assigned a 55.56% probability at odds of 1.8.
Key Match Factors
- Progreso have the better recent form (7 pts vs 4 pts from the last 5 matches).
- Cerro Largo have scored 33 goals this season compared with 31 for Progreso.
- Defensively, Cerro Largo have conceded 41 and Progreso have conceded 49.
- League positions: Cerro Largo 12th, Progreso 15th.
- The last 5 H2H meetings average 2.6 goals per game.
- Market rationale: both teams carry a scoring threat.
Why We Tip BTTS
- Cerro Largo have failed to score in 13 of 35 games and Progreso in 14 of 35.
- Clean sheets this season: Cerro Largo 9, Progreso 6.
- Both teams scored in 2 of Cerro Largo's last 5 matches.
- Both teams scored in 2 of Progreso's last 5 matches.
- Both sides scored in 3 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings.
Teams Head to Head Matches
In the last 5 meetings, Cerro Largo have won 5, Progreso have won 0 and 0 ended level. The most recent, on 3 May 2026, finished Progreso 0-1 Cerro Largo.
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 03, 2026 | Progreso | 0 : 1 | Cerro Largo |
| Aug 09, 2025 | Progreso | 1 : 2 | Cerro Largo |
| Feb 07, 2025 | Cerro Largo | 4 : 1 | Progreso |
| Nov 30, 2024 | Cerro Largo | 2 : 1 | Progreso |
| Jun 04, 2024 | Progreso | 0 : 1 | Cerro Largo |
Season Statistics
| Cerro Largo | Progreso | |
|---|---|---|
| Form |
L
L
L
L
D
W
L
|
W
W
L
D
W
W
L
|
| Played | 35 | 35 |
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| Wins | 9 | 10 |
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| Draws | 10 | 5 |
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| Losses | 16 | 20 |
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| Goals for (avg) | 0.9 | 0.9 |
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| Goals against (avg) | 1.2 | 1.4 |
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| Clean sheets | 9 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 13 | 14 |
| Biggest win streak | 2 | 2 |
Last Matches (Cerro Largo)
Racing Montevideo
Cerro Largo
Liverpool Montevideo
Cerro
Cerro Largo
Last Matches (Progreso)
Progreso
Wanderers
Progreso
Penarol
Liverpool Montevideo
Related Predictions
Cerro Largo vs Progreso FAQs
What is the Cerro Largo vs Progreso prediction?
Our tip is BTTS (Both Teams To Score), with a probability of 55.56% at odds of 1.8.
When is Cerro Largo vs Progreso?
Thursday 12 November 2026, kick-off 23:00 UTC, in the Primera División, at Estadio Arquitecto Antonio Eleuterio Ubilla.
What is the head-to-head record between Cerro Largo and Progreso?
In the last 5 meetings, Cerro Largo have won 5, Progreso have won 0 and 0 ended level. The most recent, on 3 May 2026, finished Progreso 0-1 Cerro Largo.
Discussion & Tips
League Table — Primera División
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Penarol
|
35 | 19 | 9 | 7 | 65 |
| 2 |
Deportivo Maldonado
|
35 | 18 | 9 | 8 | 63 |
| 3 |
Atletico Torque
|
35 | 19 | 6 | 10 | 63 |
| 4 |
Club Nacional
|
35 | 19 | 4 | 12 | 61 |
| 5 |
Racing Montevideo
|
35 | 16 | 12 | 7 | 60 |
| 6 |
Liverpool Montevideo
|
35 | 16 | 11 | 8 | 59 |
| 7 |
Wanderers
|
35 | 14 | 9 | 12 | 51 |
| 8 |
Albion FC
|
35 | 13 | 8 | 14 | 47 |
| 9 |
Juventud
|
35 | 10 | 11 | 14 | 41 |
| 10 |
Central Espanol
|
35 | 11 | 8 | 16 | 41 |
| 11 |
Defensor Sporting
|
35 | 9 | 12 | 14 | 39 |
| 12 |
Cerro Largo
|
35 | 9 | 10 | 16 | 37 |
| 13 |
Boston River
|
35 | 10 | 7 | 18 | 37 |
| 14 |
Cerro
|
35 | 10 | 7 | 18 | 37 |
| 15 |
Progreso
|
35 | 10 | 5 | 20 | 35 |
| 16 |
Danubio
|
35 | 6 | 14 | 15 | 32 |