Today Football Predict

Cerro Largo vs Progreso

Cerro Largo vs Progreso Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Primera División

Cerro Largo
Cerro Largo
23:00
Nov 12th
Progreso
Progreso
Prediction Odds Confidence
BTTS 1.80
55.56%
Cerro Largo:
L D L W L
Progreso:
L D W W L

Cerro Largo vs Progreso Preview

Cerro Largo face Progreso in the Primera División (Clausura - 14) on Thursday 12 November 2026, kick-off 23:00 UTC at Estadio Arquitecto Antonio Eleuterio Ubilla, Melo.

Cerro Largo are 12th with 37 points from 35 games, while Progreso are 15th with 35. That leaves Cerro Largo 2 points ahead.

At home this season Cerro Largo average 1.2 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per game; on the road Progreso average 0.8 scored and 1.3 conceded. Cerro Largo have kept 9 clean sheets and failed to score 13 times; Progreso have 6 clean sheets and 14 blanks.

Cerro Largo have scored 4 and conceded 6 in their last 5 matches, with 1 going over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring in 2. Progreso have scored 6 and conceded 6 in their last 5 matches, with 1 going over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring in 2.

Match Analysis

Cerro Largo come into this fixture with a recent record of 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats, while Progreso have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in the same window. Cerro Largo currently sit 12th on 37 points, with Progreso placed 15th on 35 points. Across the last 5 head-to-head meetings, 13 goals have been scored and both teams found the net in 3 of them. Both teams scored in 3 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings, backing the BTTS selection. The Both Teams To Score selection (BTTS) is assigned a 55.56% probability at odds of 1.8.

Key Match Factors

  • Progreso have the better recent form (7 pts vs 4 pts from the last 5 matches).
  • Cerro Largo have scored 33 goals this season compared with 31 for Progreso.
  • Defensively, Cerro Largo have conceded 41 and Progreso have conceded 49.
  • League positions: Cerro Largo 12th, Progreso 15th.
  • The last 5 H2H meetings average 2.6 goals per game.
  • Market rationale: both teams carry a scoring threat.

Why We Tip BTTS

  • Cerro Largo have failed to score in 13 of 35 games and Progreso in 14 of 35.
  • Clean sheets this season: Cerro Largo 9, Progreso 6.
  • Both teams scored in 2 of Cerro Largo's last 5 matches.
  • Both teams scored in 2 of Progreso's last 5 matches.
  • Both sides scored in 3 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings.

Teams Head to Head Matches

In the last 5 meetings, Cerro Largo have won 5, Progreso have won 0 and 0 ended level. The most recent, on 3 May 2026, finished Progreso 0-1 Cerro Largo.

Date Home Score Away
May 03, 2026 Progreso 0 : 1 Cerro Largo
Aug 09, 2025 Progreso 1 : 2 Cerro Largo
Feb 07, 2025 Cerro Largo 4 : 1 Progreso
Nov 30, 2024 Cerro Largo 2 : 1 Progreso
Jun 04, 2024 Progreso 0 : 1 Cerro Largo

Season Statistics

Cerro Largo Progreso
Form
L L L L D W L
W W L D W W L
Played 35 35
Wins 9 10
Draws 10 5
Losses 16 20
Goals for (avg) 0.9 0.9
Goals against (avg) 1.2 1.4
Clean sheets 9 6
Failed to score 13 14
Biggest win streak 2 2

Last Matches (Cerro Largo)

31 October 2026 • Primera División
L
Racing Montevideo
3 1
Cerro Largo
25 October 2026 • Primera División
W
Cerro Largo
2 0
Boston River
21 October 2026 • Copa Uruguay
L
Liverpool Montevideo
1 0
Cerro Largo
16 October 2026 • Primera División
D
Cerro
1 1
Cerro Largo
11 October 2026 • Primera División
L
Cerro Largo
0 1
Albion FC

Last Matches (Progreso)

1 November 2026 • Primera División
L
Progreso
0 2
Defensor Sporting
25 October 2026 • Primera División
W
Wanderers
0 1
Progreso
17 October 2026 • Primera División
W
Progreso
2 0
Juventud
10 October 2026 • Primera División
D
Penarol
1 1
Progreso
3 October 2026 • Primera División
L
Liverpool Montevideo
3 2
Progreso

Related Predictions

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Cerro Largo vs Progreso FAQs

What is the Cerro Largo vs Progreso prediction?

Our tip is BTTS (Both Teams To Score), with a probability of 55.56% at odds of 1.8.

When is Cerro Largo vs Progreso?

Thursday 12 November 2026, kick-off 23:00 UTC, in the Primera División, at Estadio Arquitecto Antonio Eleuterio Ubilla.

What is the head-to-head record between Cerro Largo and Progreso?

In the last 5 meetings, Cerro Largo have won 5, Progreso have won 0 and 0 ended level. The most recent, on 3 May 2026, finished Progreso 0-1 Cerro Largo.

Discussion & Tips

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League Table — Primera División

# Team MP W D L PTS
1 Penarol Penarol 35 19 9 7 65
2 Deportivo Maldonado Deportivo Maldonado 35 18 9 8 63
3 Atletico Torque Atletico Torque 35 19 6 10 63
4 Club Nacional Club Nacional 35 19 4 12 61
5 Racing Montevideo Racing Montevideo 35 16 12 7 60
6 Liverpool Montevideo Liverpool Montevideo 35 16 11 8 59
7 Wanderers Wanderers 35 14 9 12 51
8 Albion FC Albion FC 35 13 8 14 47
9 Juventud Juventud 35 10 11 14 41
10 Central Espanol Central Espanol 35 11 8 16 41
11 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting 35 9 12 14 39
12 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo 35 9 10 16 37
13 Boston River Boston River 35 10 7 18 37
14 Cerro Cerro 35 10 7 18 37
15 Progreso Progreso 35 10 5 20 35
16 Danubio Danubio 35 6 14 15 32