Italy vs France

Italy face France in the UEFA Nations League (League A - 5) on Thursday 12 November 2026, kick-off 19:45 UTC at San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza, Milan.

Italy are 2nd with 7 points from 4 games, while France are 1st with 10. That leaves France 3 points ahead.

At home this season Italy average 1.5 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game; on the road France average 1.0 scored and 0.0 conceded. Italy have kept 0 clean sheets and failed to score 1 time; France have 2 clean sheets and 0 blanks.

Italy have scored 9 and conceded 5 in their last 5 matches, with 2 going over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring in 3. France have scored 11 and conceded 8 in their last 5 matches, with 2 going over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring in 3.

Italy come into this fixture with a recent record of 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, while France have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in the same window. Italy currently sit 2nd on 7 points, with France placed 1st on 10 points. Across the last 5 head-to-head meetings, 16 goals have been scored and both teams found the net in 4 of them. Recent head-to-head meetings average 3.2 goals, which supports the Over 2.5 line. The Over 2.5 Goals selection (Over 2.5) is assigned a 60.98% probability at odds of 1.64.

• Both sides are level on recent form (10 pts each from their last matches).
• Italy have scored 8 goals this season compared with 7 for France.
• Defensively, Italy have conceded 5 and France have conceded 2.
• League positions: Italy 2nd, France 1st.
• Italy have won 1 of 2 home matches in this competition.
• France have won 2 of 2 away matches in this competition.

• Italy matches average 3.3 total goals this season and France matches 2.3.
• 2 of Italy's last 5 matches went over 2.5 goals.
• 2 of France's last 5 matches went over 2.5 goals.
• The last 5 head-to-head meetings averaged 3.2 goals.

In the last 5 meetings, Italy have won 2, France have won 2 and 1 ended level. The most recent, on 2 October 2026, finished France 1-1 Italy.