Luxembourg vs Estonia

Luxembourg face Estonia in the UEFA Nations League (League C - 5) on Friday 13 November 2026, kick-off 19:45 UTC at Stade de Luxembourg, Luxembourg.

Luxembourg are 4th with 3 points from 4 games, while Estonia are 2nd with 6. That leaves Estonia 3 points ahead.

At home this season Luxembourg average 0.0 goals scored and 2.5 conceded per game; on the road Estonia average 0.5 scored and 0.5 conceded. Luxembourg have kept 0 clean sheets and failed to score 3 times; Estonia have 3 clean sheets and 2 blanks.

Luxembourg have scored 3 and conceded 7 in their last 5 matches, with 2 going over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring in 1. Estonia have scored 3 and conceded 1 in their last 5 matches, with 0 going over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring in 1.

Luxembourg come into this fixture with a recent record of 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats, while Estonia have 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats in the same window. Luxembourg currently sit 4th on 3 points, with Estonia placed 2nd on 6 points. Across the last 1 head-to-head meetings, 1 goal have been scored and both teams found the net in 0 of them. Recent head-to-head meetings average 1 goals, which supports the Under 2.5 line. The Under 2.5 Goals selection (Under 2.5) is assigned a 62.11% probability at odds of 1.61.

• Estonia have the better recent form (9 pts vs 6 pts from the last 5 matches).
• Luxembourg have scored 2 goals this season compared with 2 for Estonia.
• Defensively, Luxembourg have conceded 7 and Estonia have conceded 1.
• League positions: Luxembourg 4th, Estonia 2nd.
• Luxembourg have won 0 of 2 home matches in this competition.
• Estonia have won 0 of 2 away matches in this competition.

• Luxembourg matches average 2.3 total goals this season and Estonia matches 0.8.
• 2 of Luxembourg's last 5 matches went over 2.5 goals.
• 0 of Estonia's last 5 matches went over 2.5 goals.
• The last 1 head-to-head meetings averaged 1.0 goals.

In the last 1 meeting, Luxembourg have won 0, Estonia have won 1 and 0 ended level. The most recent, on 3 October 2026, finished Estonia 1-0 Luxembourg.