Montenegro vs Latvia

Montenegro face Latvia in the UEFA Nations League (League C - 5) on Thursday 12 November 2026, kick-off 19:45 UTC at Gradski Stadion, Podgorica.

Montenegro are 1st with 10 points from 4 games, while Latvia are 4th with 1. That leaves Montenegro 9 points ahead.

At home this season Montenegro average 1.0 goals scored and 0.5 conceded per game; on the road Latvia average 0.5 scored and 2.0 conceded. Montenegro have kept 1 clean sheet and failed to score 1 time; Latvia have 1 clean sheet and 2 blanks.

Montenegro have scored 9 and conceded 6 in their last 5 matches, with 4 going over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring in 4. Latvia have scored 2 and conceded 7 in their last 5 matches, with 2 going over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring in 2.

Montenegro come into this fixture with a recent record of 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats, while Latvia have 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats in the same window. Montenegro currently sit 1st on 10 points, with Latvia placed 4th on 1 points. Across the last 4 head-to-head meetings, 8 goals have been scored and both teams found the net in 3 of them. Recent head-to-head meetings average 2 goals, which supports the Over 1.5 line. The Over 1.5 Goals selection (Over 1.5) is assigned a 78.74% probability at odds of 1.27.

• Montenegro have the better recent form (11 pts vs 1 pts from the last 5 matches).
• Montenegro have scored 7 goals this season compared with 2 for Latvia.
• Defensively, Montenegro have conceded 4 and Latvia have conceded 6.
• League positions: Montenegro 1st, Latvia 4th.
• Montenegro have won 1 of 2 home matches in this competition.
• Latvia have won 0 of 2 away matches in this competition.

• Montenegro matches average 2.8 total goals this season and Latvia matches 2.0.
• 4 of Montenegro's last 5 matches went over 1.5 goals.
• 3 of Latvia's last 5 matches went over 1.5 goals.
• The last 4 head-to-head meetings averaged 2.0 goals.

In the last 4 meetings, Montenegro have won 2, Latvia have won 0 and 2 ended level. The most recent, on 2 October 2026, finished Latvia 1-2 Montenegro.