Once Caldas vs Atletico Nacional

Once Caldas face Atletico Nacional in the Copa Colombia (Semi-finals) on Wednesday 11 November 2026, kick-off 01:30 UTC at Estadio Palogrande, Manizales.

At home this season Once Caldas average 2.0 goals scored and 0.0 conceded per game; on the road Atletico Nacional average 2.0 scored and 0.0 conceded. Once Caldas have kept 4 clean sheets and failed to score 0 times; Atletico Nacional have 3 clean sheets and 0 blanks.

Once Caldas have scored 6 and conceded 2 in their last 5 matches, with 0 going over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring in 2. Atletico Nacional have scored 11 and conceded 7 in their last 5 matches, with 3 going over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring in 4.

Once Caldas come into this fixture with a recent record of 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats, while Atletico Nacional have 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in the same window. Across the last 5 head-to-head meetings, 11 goals have been scored and both teams found the net in 2 of them. Recent head-to-head meetings average 2.2 goals, which supports the Over 1.5 line. The Over 1.5 Goals selection (Over 1.5) is assigned a 80% probability at odds of 1.25.

• Both sides are level on recent form (11 pts each from their last matches).
• Once Caldas have scored 9 goals this season compared with 10 for Atletico Nacional.
• Defensively, Once Caldas have conceded 0 and Atletico Nacional have conceded 2.
• The last 5 H2H meetings average 2.2 goals per game.
• Market rationale: goals trend supports Over 1.5.

• Once Caldas matches average 2.3 total goals this season and Atletico Nacional matches 3.0.
• 3 of Once Caldas' last 5 matches went over 1.5 goals.
• 5 of Atletico Nacional's last 5 matches went over 1.5 goals.
• The last 5 head-to-head meetings averaged 2.2 goals.

In the last 5 meetings, Once Caldas have won 1, Atletico Nacional have won 4 and 0 ended level. The most recent, on 1 May 2026, finished Once Caldas 1-0 Atletico Nacional.