Today Football Prediction

Poland vs Sweden

Poland vs Sweden Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

UEFA Nations League

Poland
Poland
19:45
Nov 17th
Sweden
Sweden
Prediction Odds Confidence
X 3.68
27.17%
Poland:
D L W L L
Sweden:
W W D W W

Poland vs Sweden Preview

Poland face Sweden in the UEFA Nations League (League B - 6) on Tuesday 17 November 2026, kick-off 19:45 UTC at Stadion Śląska Wrocław, Wroclaw.

Poland are 3rd with 4 points from 5 games, while Sweden are 1st with 13. That leaves Sweden 9 points ahead.

At home this season Poland average 3.0 goals scored and 0.0 conceded per game; on the road Sweden average 1.0 scored and 0.5 conceded. Poland have kept 2 clean sheets and failed to score 2 times; Sweden have 1 clean sheet and 0 blanks.

Poland have scored 8 and conceded 6 in their last 5 matches, with 3 going over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring in 2. Sweden have scored 10 and conceded 5 in their last 5 matches, with 3 going over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring in 4.

Match Analysis

Poland come into this fixture with a recent record of 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats, while Sweden have 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats in the same window. Poland currently sit 3rd on 4 points, with Sweden placed 1st on 13 points. Across the last 4 head-to-head meetings, 16 goals have been scored and both teams found the net in 3 of them. The model rates the two sides evenly matched, backing the draw. The Draw selection (X) is assigned a 27.17% probability at odds of 3.68.

Key Match Factors

  • Sweden have the better recent form (13 pts vs 4 pts from the last 5 matches).
  • Poland have scored 8 goals this season compared with 10 for Sweden.
  • Defensively, Poland have conceded 6 and Sweden have conceded 5.
  • League positions: Poland 3rd, Sweden 1st.
  • Poland have won 1 of 2 home matches in this competition.
  • Sweden have won 1 of 2 away matches in this competition.

Why We Tip X

  • Poland at home: 1 wins, 1 draws and 0 defeats from 2 games.
  • Sweden away from home: 1 wins, 1 draws and 0 defeats from 2 games.
  • Poland have taken 4 points from their last 5 matches.
  • Sweden have taken 13 points from their last 5 matches.

Teams Head to Head Matches

In the last 4 meetings, Poland have won 1, Sweden have won 3 and 0 ended level. The most recent, on 28 September 2026, finished Sweden 3-1 Poland.

Date Home Score Away
Sep 28, 2026 Sweden 3 : 1 Poland
Mar 31, 2026 Sweden 3 : 2 Poland
Mar 29, 2022 Poland 2 : 0 Sweden
Jun 23, 2021 Sweden 3 : 2 Poland

Season Statistics

Poland Sweden
Form
D L W L L
W W D W W
Played 5 5
Wins 1 4
Draws 1 1
Losses 3 0
Goals for (avg) 1.6 2.0
Goals against (avg) 1.2 1.0
Clean sheets 2 1
Failed to score 2 0
Biggest win streak 1 2

Last Matches (Poland)

14 November 2026 • UEFA Nations League
L
Romania
2 1
Poland
5 October 2026 • UEFA Nations League
L
Bosnia & Herzegovina
1 0
Poland
2 October 2026 • UEFA Nations League
W
Poland
6 0
Romania
28 September 2026 • UEFA Nations League
L
Sweden
3 1
Poland
25 September 2026 • UEFA Nations League
D
Poland
0 0
Bosnia & Herzegovina

Last Matches (Sweden)

14 November 2026 • UEFA Nations League
W
Sweden
3 2
Bosnia & Herzegovina
5 October 2026 • UEFA Nations League
W
Romania
0 1
Sweden
2 October 2026 • UEFA Nations League
D
Bosnia & Herzegovina
1 1
Sweden
28 September 2026 • UEFA Nations League
W
Sweden
3 1
Poland
25 September 2026 • UEFA Nations League
W
Sweden
2 1
Romania

Related Predictions

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Poland vs Sweden FAQs

What is the Poland vs Sweden prediction?

Our tip is X (Draw), with a probability of 27.17% at odds of 3.68.

When is Poland vs Sweden?

Tuesday 17 November 2026, kick-off 19:45 UTC, in the UEFA Nations League, at Stadion Śląska Wrocław.

What is the head-to-head record between Poland and Sweden?

In the last 4 meetings, Poland have won 1, Sweden have won 3 and 0 ended level. The most recent, on 28 September 2026, finished Sweden 3-1 Poland.

Discussion & Tips

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League Table — UEFA Nations League

# Team MP W D L PTS
1 Sweden Sweden 5 4 1 0 13
2 Bosnia & Herzegovina Bosnia & Herzegovina 5 2 2 1 8
3 Poland Poland 5 1 1 3 4
4 Romania Romania 5 1 0 4 3